Journal of Applied Equine Enumeration, Vol. 1, No. 1 (sole issue)

Respondent Belief Distributions Regarding Global Horse Population: A Self-Administered Instrument

redacted1, redacted1,2, redacted2, and one (1) civilian consultant3

1Bureau of Equine Enumeration   2Directorate of redacted, Langley   3Formerly of a riding school

Abstract

Public confidence in the stated global horse population (approx. 6.0 × 107) has not been measured since the redacted incident. Competing frameworks include the Single Horse Model (all observations attributable to one animal exhibiting anomalous mobility), the Half Horse Theory (front half only; rear unconfirmed), and the Null Equine Hypothesis (no horse has occurred). We present a twelve-item instrument that yields two respondent quantities: X, horses the respondent believes have ever existed, and Y, horses the respondent believes exist currently.

Methods

Respondents answer twelve items. Each response carries a pre-registered weight on a base-10 logarithmic scale; weights were set by redacted and have not been independently verified. Respondents are not debriefed. Respondents are not told whether the Station possesses a horse.

Consent

By beginning the instrument you consent to being counted. You may withdraw at any time by closing the document, which the Station will interpret as agreement.

Begin instrument

§4.2 Findings, this respondent

§4.3 Assessment

Disclosure. The official figure (approx. 60 million living; some tens of billions historical) is provided for calibration and reflects the position of the Bureau as of the last audit, which was redacted. Material relating to the horse held at redacted has been withheld under exemption (b)(1). This page intentionally contains no horses.